Gravity
At the turn of the century, oil production in the North Sea peaked at about 6.3 mb/d. During 1Q09 output was about 4.4 mb/d - a decline of about 30%, or 1.9 mb/d, and the outlook is not bright. This could, however, become a very positive stimulus to tanker demand.
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It is a Riddle…
...wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma...to partly quote Winston Churchill in his famous speech about the Soviet Union in 1939. Now, we believe it is appropriate to use his words when describing the shipbuilding market these days. The market is flourishing with rumours, statements, and proclamations of all sorts these days. But what is the true situation? Sadly, we think nobody knows.
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Ordem e Progresso!
Nobody would argue strongly against the assertion that China has almost single-handedly been the main driver behind the past five years’ fantastic dry bulk market - this was especially true in the Capesize market with its almost insatiable appetite for iron ore. What now? We observe some ominous trends.
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Old Habits Die Hard
After the disastrous accident in South Korea on the 7th of October 2007, where more than 66,000 barrels of crude oil was spilled into Korean waters, governments and oil companies in various countries cried out with promises to stop using single hull tankers. The picture of oil slick beaches, dying sea birds and several hundred thousands of volunteers’ working day and night to clean up the spill was broadcasted all around the world. With demonstrations by local fisherman who lost their livelihood and general public outrage, the South Korean government indicated that they would reduce the usage of single hull tonnage and ban single hull vessels from 2011, or 2015 with permission from flag and port states. South Korean GS Caltex and STX Energy followed up by banning single hull vessels from 2010 from their import program. Other Asian nations followed suit with the Philippines banning single hull vessels from April 2008. China and Japan also stated that they would reduce the usage of single hull vessels into their ports.
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| Market Update | Updated 01.01.1970 |
Tankers
The recent quiet trend seen in the VLCC market continues to detract from the previous momentum that this market had gained, and it now appears that owners will be obliged to wait until Lunar New Year celebrations wind down before normal act...
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Dry Bulk
As expected it has been a quiet week with few fixtures and more ships drifting and at anchorage. For the west Australia/China trade, the big three have been absent, only a handful of fixtures around USD 7.60 – 7.75 range. Tubarao/Qingdao is...
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Gas
The activity level in the VLGC market has been rather good over the last week, roughly a dozen vessels have been fixed and thereby made the tonnage oversupply less painful. Charterers have started fixing well into the middle of February now...
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Newbuilding
The activity in LPG picked up this week, with altogether 5 orders placed at Chinese shipyards. Evergas (former Eitzen Gas) continues construction at Sinopacific, with 4 ships, either 12,000 or 17,000 cbm, to be decided in coming months. The...
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